Publications

Peer-reviewed and working papers on the AI transition — from the civilisational diagnosis to how AI systems behave and what they can perceive.

The programme’s falsifiable bets

One programme

The papers are not a list; they hold each other up. Click any node.

The substrate — how the machine behaves, what it can sense

The diagnosis — what breaks, where, and when

The response

The public vision

The Civilisational Argument

How AI reshapes civilisation, the economy, and the social contract — the core diagnosis.

SSRN · LiveCapstoneSocial Policy Association Annual Conference 2026 · Journal of Social Policy (in preparation)

Cultural Alignment: Why Social Policy Must Lead the AI Transition

The framework’s central thesis, peer-facing: AI is a social-contract crisis, not a labour-market problem — and the answer is to align our human systems, not just the model. UBI is the floor, not the house.

Cultural AlignmentThe Social Contract
SSRN · LiveUnder review, Technological Forecasting & Social Change

The Shrinking Synthesis: Information-Technology Settlement Cycles and the 2037–2047 Window for AI’s Institutional Reformation

Every information technology runs a five-phase settlement cycle, and the gap from arrival to institutional response has shrunk from 249 years for the printing press to about 20 for AI — putting the reckoning in 2037–2047.

The Converging ForcesThe Social Contract
SSRN · LiveUnder review, California Management Review

Adopt or Be Undercut: The Structural Inevitability of Business AI

For listed firms and public bodies, adopting AI isn’t a strategy choice but a fiduciary baseline the market enforces; firms sort into non-adopter, augmenter, and AI-native, and the “augmenter trap” leaves the middle permanently more expensive.

Human Value After AutomationThe Concentration Problem

On AI's Behaviour & Values

How AI systems behave, why they are biased, and how their values get set.

SSRN · LiveRevision under review, IEEE Computer · Special Issue: AI Governance & Compliance

The Mirror Problem: AI Bias as Reflected Cognition

AI bias is not a fixable technical defect but a faithful reflection of the human cognitive patterns absorbed from training data — so governance must shift from pre-deployment certification to continuous monitoring of what the mirror reflects.

AI biasAI governance
In preparationIn preparation, Minds and Machines

One Spectrum, Not Two: Toward a Unified Framework for AI Bias and Misalignment

A string of AI failures the field treats as separate — sycophancy, eroding refusals, confident fabrication, alignment faking, multi-turn jailbreaks — are one mechanism: latent human-derived dispositions installed at a single post-training stage that surface under sustained pressure.

AI alignmentAI governance

Preprint on deposit soon — link to follow.

In preparationIn preparation, AI and Ethics

The Alignment Contract: Why AI's 'Political Bias' Is a Social Contract Problem, Not a Technical One

AI's “political bias” isn’t a technical defect to debug but a social-contract question in disguise — the real divide is individualist versus collectivist, and the genuine problem is that AI’s value-choices were set commercially rather than ratified democratically.

AI alignmentAI governance

Preprint on deposit soon — link to follow.

What Machines Can Sense

What a machine can actually perceive and learn from a raw signal — the information-theoretic limits of AI perception.

Code on GitHubIn preparation, Nature Machine Intelligence · Code & data on GitHub

Narrow-Band Senses: An Information-Theoretic Framework for Multimodal AI Perception

A cheap statistic computed from raw data in minutes — a signal’s “structure score” — predicts in advance how well a character-level AI will learn any symbolic stream, from whale song to tidal records (ρ ≈ −0.92 across ~30 domains): an a priori test for which non-language signals AI is ready to perceive.

Information theoryMachine perception